Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3abf976afa3a4f2e0fdefae5011bf0f4d1fba4caa50e4eaff54f8812ab7701a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norfolk State Spartansof Norfolk State Spartans, Coppin State Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $676,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Coppin State Eagles | 52c | 664,523$345,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345,192.14 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 529,900$254,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275,548.21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 20,015$9,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,058.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Coppin State Eagles | 49c | 8,575$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.85 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.04 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 49c | 1,140$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 750$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 377$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 172.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 143.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 136.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Coppin State Eagles | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 59.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Coppin State Eagles | 49c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 29.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Coppin State Eagles | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-12.5)this page
- Coppin State Eagles vs. Norfolk State SpartansNorfolk State Spartans won
- Coppin State Eagles vs. Norfolk State Spartans: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-13.5)Norfolk State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.