Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Ekaterina Agureeva vs Sevil Yuldasheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b117b5507596fba7277db05f529e330f2df5ead0e2759dbc2184fe39543ff25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevil Yuldashevaof Ekaterina Agureeva, Sevil Yuldasheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Ekaterina Agureeva | 53c | 333.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 46c | 201.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…daa9backed Sevil Yuldasheva | 54c | 200.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sevil Yuldasheva | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 53c | 32.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Ekaterina Agureeva | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sevil Yuldasheva | 48c | 27.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sevil Yuldasheva | 48c | 20.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ekaterina Agureeva | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.