Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6b8b8702f1ff3be42bb2a5d4611b65ac6b43aa9579202135a9917da2644514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 3,327$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 38c | 1,234$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.29 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…32e2backed Yes | 49c | 860$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 439.53$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 57c | 415.43$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 74c | 388.19$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 56c | 356.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 18cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 9c | 233.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 9c | 199.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 45c | 149.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 41c | 108.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…e02abacked Yes | 60c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed No | 48c | 40.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…fb0dbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 55c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…8a5cbacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…607cbacked Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…df51backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.