Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oral Roberts vs. North Dakota
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b89fd0d8460566e2c85b23509100a3ab12139b2001e7c488b716b0929f76d59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakotaof Oral Roberts, North Dakota
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81ae…1bc3backed North Dakota | 71c | 158$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa551…1b78backed Oral Roberts | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…9596backed Oral Roberts | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…72e8backed Oral Roberts | 29c | 104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…a9a7backed Oral Roberts | 29c | 97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…0661backed Oral Roberts | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…3c55backed North Dakota | 71c | 92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…fc20backed Oral Roberts | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…4c72backed Oral Roberts | 32c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e348backed North Dakota | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa749…c9c3backed North Dakota | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Oral Roberts | 29c | 57.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…ac25backed North Dakota | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…7f20backed North Dakota | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…3f0dbacked Oral Roberts | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…5960backed North Dakota | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…71dfbacked Oral Roberts | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6991…deffbacked Oral Roberts | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…439dbacked Oral Roberts | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…184abacked Oral Roberts | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…0bbcbacked North Dakota | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b63…8a3bbacked Oral Roberts | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…967dbacked North Dakota | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…acf8backed North Dakota | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…6214backed North Dakota | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…9345backed North Dakota | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed North Dakota | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…51e2backed North Dakota | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…9fe9backed North Dakota | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…b947backed North Dakota | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…f1a3backed North Dakota | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…65d2backed North Dakota | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…fab8backed North Dakota | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…2d25backed North Dakota | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…1873backed North Dakota | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…9154backed North Dakota | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…7122backed North Dakota | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…2571backed North Dakota | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc8…9efcbacked North Dakota | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc272…bfb1backed North Dakota | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…b1b1backed North Dakota | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…96b4backed North Dakota | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…2bc5backed North Dakota | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.