Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs Diallo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b9b5d4f2135f59fb77959c4629d31c70b3e0d86ca3117c3982791f2e5f29ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dialloof Bellucci, Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Diallo | 59c | 1,735$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.46 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bellucci | 42c | 657.89$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Bellucci | 52c | 249.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bellucci | 41c | 243.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bellucci | 45c | 205.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Diallo | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Bellucci | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Diallo | 62c | 141.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bellucci | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Bellucci | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Bellucci | 56c | 82.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bellucci | 39c | 71.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Bellucci | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Diallo | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bellucci | 47c | 53.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Diallo | 55c | 50.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Diallo | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Bellucci | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Bellucci | 44c | 27.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs Diallothis page
- BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel DialloGabriel Diallo won
- Bellucci vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Bellucci vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Bellucci vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Mattia Bellucci vs. Gabriel Diallo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Diallo (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)Diallo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.