CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3becc6ba655b05c38c94a165b0525c1a12b42bd4e37d82ad57ac9e46a0470958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof Lilmix, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01d7…d5cabacked Bushido Wildcats | 0c | 17,228$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 344.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Lilmix | 45c | 311.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Bushido Wildcats | 30c | 110.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…b5e4backed Lilmix | 70c | 101.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…a627backed Lilmix | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 49.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…3da2backed Lilmix | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lilmix | 58c | 20.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)Bushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.