Lol · resolved market
LoL: Inside Games vs Divernex (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c962c1fbba15212b8fc309bf2dd88e90ae12c06956eb33f5d07b07b118c6f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Divernexof Inside Games, Divernex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Inside Games | 0c | 6,756$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Divernex | 73c | 2,162$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.75 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Inside Games | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Inside Games | 5c | 825$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Inside Games | 10c | 699.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Inside Games | 32c | 585.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Divernex | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Inside Games | 14c | 456.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Inside Games | 27c | 435.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Inside Games | 28c | 359.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Inside Games | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Divernex | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Divernex | 66c | 130.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…9b3fbacked Inside Games | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Inside Games | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked Divernex | 71c | 80.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Inside Games | 34c | 80.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Inside Games | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Inside Games | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Divernex | 68c | 29.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Divernex | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.