CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d10b84545c2e190287d3b63224ca256196f13ba7026ea419377122b4c3dcdf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof CSDIILIT, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1661…4b37backed CSDIILIT | 76c | 1,541$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.95 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Rebels Gaming | 33c | 1,044$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.66 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Rebels Gaming | 10c | 1,007$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 885.14$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.23 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebels Gaming | 65c | 482.17$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Rebels Gaming | 3c | 451.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rebels Gaming | 3c | 422$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 257.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rebels Gaming | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Rebels Gaming | 34c | 148.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…6771backed CSDIILIT | 76c | 131.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Rebels Gaming | 18c | 111.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…e79fbacked Rebels Gaming | 59c | 105.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Rebels Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 79.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked CSDIILIT | 57c | 32.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Rebels Gaming | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Rebels Gaming | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed CSDIILIT | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.