CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3da2f76fd211f92a7295ba2bb19a00e69b72fe2b4ed1c776c84bd4a2313e2b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed Benched gods | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 45c | 875.48$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Benched gods | 2c | 841$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Benched gods | 57c | 799.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Benched gods | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Brute | 33c | 614.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.84 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Benched gods | 5c | 606$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 56c | 585.9$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Benched gods | 68c | 473$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Benched gods | 40c | 409.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Benched gods | 45c | 383.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Benched gods | 74c | 369.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Benched gods | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 59c | 195.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 45c | 112.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brute | 48c | 93.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Benched gods | 45c | 88.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Benched gods | 64c | 87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Brute | 31c | 63.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Benched gods | 40c | 62.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Benched gods | 69c | 43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Brute | 39c | 38.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed Benched gods | 40c | 27.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsBrute won
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs Benched gods - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.