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La Liga · resolved market

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2c8…5471backed No75c440.12$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0910536.2%38 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes25c320$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24010129.7%30 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed No78c314.39$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes21c305$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.432635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes25c208.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1320161.7%124 W · 77 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No76c199.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9814245.1%64 W · 78 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes24c142$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2920942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebe…8391backed Yes25c140$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…dd03backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes25c83.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7733531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked No76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.