Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de6f3d3b1922d096eb4d40853338c5ef16c4a5e652166a7e259da1846642b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 2,934$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 6c | 1,604$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 8c | 864.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 76c | 860.15$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 10c | 529.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 10c | 528.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 33c | 427.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 6c | 330.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 11c | 215.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 10c | 199.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 65c | 190.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 9c | 168.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 156.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…7d57backed Over | 36c | 106.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 42c | 75.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…03bbbacked Over | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Over | 22c | 66.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Over | 35c | 54.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 72c | 47.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 35c | 43.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 61c | 30.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…5485backed Under | 66c | 29.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 65c | 23.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…b014backed Under | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.