NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e69ac1b251040ee27288abe3e18807f102554ffb61756df756335c2aab7beef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $635,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0f0…bad3backed Magic | 53c | 336,982$178,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,381.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 277,155$130,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,250.82 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 103,707$48,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,400.18 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Magic | 49c | 75,012$37,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,005.58 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Magic | 54c | 39,998$21,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.21 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 51c | 34,778$17,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,792.03 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 31,314$14,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,404.45 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 29,987$14,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,993.67 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Magic | 49c | 29,009$14,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,714.47 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 50c | 23,935$11,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,857.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 20,477$10,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,443.14 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 54c | 19,719$10,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,117.7 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Magic | 52c | 12,776$6,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,134.94 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 45c | 11,250$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Magic | 55c | 10,769$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.27 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Magic | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Magic | 54c | 9,037$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.51 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 54c | 5,819$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.82 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 5,259$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,768$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,532$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.31 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Magic | 50c | 3,979$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.47 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Magic | 49c | 3,742$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 3,257$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.17 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 3,174$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Magic | 56c | 2,921$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.15 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Timberwolves | 34c | 2,790$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.66 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Magic | 49c | 2,583$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.43 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,293$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.17 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Magic | 54c | 2,159$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.01 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,002$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.73 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Magic | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.01 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,768$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves | 10c | 1,762$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 33c | 1,498$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.26 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Magic | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,431$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,367$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.39 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Magic | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Timberwolves | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Magic | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Timberwolves | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves | 10c | 891.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Magic | 54c | 777.92$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Magic | 50c | 708.65$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.08 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Magic | 56c | 681.52$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Magic | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 599.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Magic | 49c | 583.91$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.96 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Magic | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 44c | 575.5$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Timberwolves | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 560$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Magic | 50c | 553.23$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.72 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Magic | 53c | 550.04$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Timberwolves | 48c | 499.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 51c | 488.64$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 487.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Magic | 49c | 480.88$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.68 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Timberwolves | 47c | 457.86$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Magic | 51c | 402.79$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Magic | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Timberwolves | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 62c | 363.61$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 54c | 346.77$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…665bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 312.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Magic | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…02e4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Timberwolves | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Timberwolves | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Magic | 70c | 281$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 274.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Magic | 50c | 273.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Magic | 51c | 264.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Timberwolves | 48c | 260.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed Magic | 65c | 237.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…b295backed Magic | 56c | 225.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Magic | 53c | 222.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Timberwolves | 24c | 206.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Timberwolves | 47c | 206.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Timberwolves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Timberwolves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0f39backed Timberwolves | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Magic | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Magic | 80c | 192.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Magic | 56c | 191.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Magic | 50c | 189.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 180.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Magic | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 164.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Magic | 49c | 162.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-20.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Timberwolves vs. MagicMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.