NFL · resolved market
Will the Rams beat the Cardinals by 7 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6c5b92cf4a6cfe3c7080b856c04b2bb7c29e5e97f504268044630edc66b588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Rams, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2e4…9b8cbacked Rams | 50c | 184$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…d7e5backed Cardinals | 50c | 184$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…3b44backed Rams | 49c | 183$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…7a6fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 183$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…b0c1backed Cardinals | 51c | 183$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…1463backed Rams | 49c | 183$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…ef33backed Rams | 51c | 183$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…6668backed Cardinals | 49c | 183$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…294fbacked Rams | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…fed5backed Cardinals | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…f416backed Cardinals | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…58e6backed Cardinals | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc3…c5b0backed Rams | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…84a8backed Rams | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…d490backed Cardinals | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…d3aabacked Rams | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…c192backed Rams | 49c | 179$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…2521backed Cardinals | 51c | 179$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…8081backed Rams | 50c | 178$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…32d4backed Cardinals | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…e7cebacked Cardinals | 49c | 177$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…a38fbacked Rams | 51c | 177$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fa…3413backed Cardinals | 51c | 177$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…14c8backed Rams | 49c | 177$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…ef86backed Cardinals | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…77dabacked Cardinals | 51c | 176$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…31fcbacked Rams | 49c | 176$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…ec3ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 176$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…9dffbacked Cardinals | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf480…8f55backed Rams | 49c | 176$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…67cabacked Rams | 51c | 176$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…1ef8backed Rams | 51c | 176$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9da…cf4dbacked Rams | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…2a26backed Cardinals | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…f827backed Cardinals | 52c | 174$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…7cb3backed Rams | 48c | 174$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…d724backed Rams | 51c | 173$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…e37fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…14e1backed Rams | 49c | 172$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b1…2a9cbacked Cardinals | 51c | 172$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa017…926dbacked Rams | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…fd58backed Cardinals | 51c | 172$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…4e99backed Cardinals | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…3dfbbacked Rams | 49c | 172$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…429fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 171$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…f91cbacked Rams | 49c | 171$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…c1d0backed Cardinals | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4331…29bcbacked Rams | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fa…3919backed Rams | 49c | 168$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…4a08backed Cardinals | 51c | 168$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…5392backed Rams | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…d1a1backed Cardinals | 51c | 166$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…ef74backed Cardinals | 50c | 165$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df6…18a6backed Rams | 50c | 165$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…f81abacked Cardinals | 50c | 163$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…7486backed Rams | 50c | 163$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…0de0backed Cardinals | 46c | 162$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…7fe1backed Rams | 54c | 162$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…ecfbbacked Cardinals | 50c | 161$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…7a82backed Rams | 50c | 161$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…ea22backed Rams | 54c | 159$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…fdc6backed Cardinals | 46c | 159$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…0a3bbacked Rams | 50c | 153$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…be02backed Cardinals | 50c | 153$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…7febbacked Rams | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Cardinals | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Rams beat the Cardinals by 7 or more points?this page
- Will the Rams and Cardinals combine for 48 or more points?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.