Asian League · resolved market
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f126b99d6650133098a45f228fbe9b8027581b00162357555102f850c3b0a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 971.14$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.21 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 21c | 812.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 49c | 395$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 52c | 189$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 53c | 188.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 15c | 69.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 68.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…b08fbacked Yes | 53c | 24.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…3864backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…d608backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…1fbabacked Yes | 53c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…d3f6backed Yes | 53c | 23.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…a290backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…e87ebacked No | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…0258backed Yes | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…7c57backed Yes | 53c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…f5c8backed Yes | 53c | 19.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.