Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina A&T vs. Campbell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f697675d469955e57a6c64ca877d8f4ba4b9c23bb7dd048742df52322f66dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Campbellof North Carolina A&T, Campbell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed North Carolina A&T | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked North Carolina A&T | 13c | 375.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…3121backed North Carolina A&T | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…aca7backed Campbell | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…39fbbacked Campbell | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…84b5backed North Carolina A&T | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…ce30backed North Carolina A&T | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…c060backed Campbell | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c96…0e03backed Campbell | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…c359backed North Carolina A&T | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…1bf4backed Campbell | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…423cbacked Campbell | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…da1bbacked North Carolina A&T | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…8921backed Campbell | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…1d3ebacked North Carolina A&T | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…515cbacked Campbell | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…2d14backed North Carolina A&T | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…da2abacked North Carolina A&T | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…ede5backed North Carolina A&T | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed Campbell | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…d28cbacked North Carolina A&T | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ee9fbacked Campbell | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…9864backed North Carolina A&T | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…65febacked Campbell | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…1293backed Campbell | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…678abacked North Carolina A&T | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d39…0c81backed North Carolina A&T | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…deb1backed North Carolina A&T | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bb…b014backed Campbell | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…f84ebacked Campbell | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…4e85backed Campbell | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…4b04backed North Carolina A&T | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…421ebacked North Carolina A&T | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…f54bbacked North Carolina A&T | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…265abacked Campbell | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…f354backed Campbell | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…2f30backed North Carolina A&T | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…ca27backed Campbell | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…40fdbacked Campbell | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd193…5514backed Campbell | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.