Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401d63955515b00f143979d2bbc0a47138b71e7802ccf1cb0024aa7d74d06934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…f86dbacked Over | 30c | 296.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 259.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6503backed Over | 60c | 165.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 38c | 120.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 27c | 41.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…5436backed Under | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 79c | 19.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…a4d8backed Under | 71c | 16.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs OKSavingsBank BRION (+1.5)OKSavingsBank BRION won
- LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerOKSavingsBank BRION won
- Series: Hanwha Life Esports Inhibitor Handicap (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)HANJIN BRION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.