La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402fd87469fc357acaf06a7f6b4f5db5cc6468d58421fe1e66089c88d0bdf5e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,707 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 394.87$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 290.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 224$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Under | 55c | 211.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 55c | 158.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 125.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 111.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 17c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 19c | 73.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…75b4backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 65c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Real Sporting de Gijón won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.