Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi State vs. Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40fd9209df2f45b5e3df9e95220cc29d6be7f8eb642b89ae873443d359cff226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof Mississippi State, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29fc…e36cbacked Mississippi State | 18c | 303$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama | 76c | 275.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mississippi State | 19c | 274$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…3e4ebacked Mississippi State | 19c | 224$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…4188backed Mississippi State | 25c | 211$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a80…a2e9backed Alabama | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…e938backed Mississippi State | 23c | 191$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mississippi State | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…dffdbacked Alabama | 78c | 159$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…7b90backed Alabama | 77c | 127$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…fdcdbacked Mississippi State | 22c | 123$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Mississippi State | 24c | 105.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84d…82d9backed Mississippi State | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bf…5664backed Mississippi State | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c85…0158backed Alabama | 78c | 83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…9ac8backed Alabama | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…99e2backed Mississippi State | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…895cbacked Alabama | 78c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…e2c0backed Mississippi State | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed Mississippi State | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…8a10backed Mississippi State | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…4a99backed Mississippi State | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857d…79d4backed Alabama | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1b…beb7backed Mississippi State | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…6f79backed Mississippi State | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…b7dabacked Mississippi State | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…fdc5backed Alabama | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…1f63backed Mississippi State | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…08afbacked Mississippi State | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e5f7backed Alabama | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…ff16backed Alabama | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…169fbacked Alabama | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa171…e34cbacked Alabama | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…45dcbacked Alabama | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c7…b888backed Alabama | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…a8f0backed Alabama | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…07efbacked Alabama | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…26b4backed Alabama | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…a97ebacked Alabama | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…d415backed Alabama | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…628cbacked Alabama | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…144cbacked Alabama | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8108…f3cebacked Alabama | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…7e11backed Alabama | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…174cbacked Alabama | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…0488backed Alabama | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…75a0backed Alabama | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…080bbacked Alabama | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e7…a18fbacked Alabama | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ed…dd67backed Alabama | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…cc2abacked Alabama | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…823dbacked Alabama | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…03b3backed Alabama | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…7fe6backed Alabama | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…bf56backed Alabama | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1b…4e28backed Alabama | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…7891backed Alabama | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.