Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Sigma Olomouc score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41076e373e6a6f169ad1ac8a6c21a1cc281118ed5f88bbe218fb111c20bda502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,918 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b0d…4498backed No | 69c | 304.29$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…af94backed Yes | 31c | 303.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…ca49backed No | 69c | 301.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…a08abacked No | 69c | 300.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…5546backed Yes | 31c | 299.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6806…126dbacked Yes | 31c | 298.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ec51backed No | 69c | 297.78$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…560dbacked No | 69c | 291.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…4bd6backed No | 69c | 290.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…0af4backed No | 69c | 290.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…fcbebacked No | 69c | 288.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…09bebacked No | 69c | 284.65$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…2eafbacked Yes | 31c | 283.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…fb69backed Yes | 31c | 283.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5491…6e70backed No | 69c | 280.8$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…d265backed No | 69c | 280.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…ff36backed Yes | 31c | 269.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…df15backed No | 69c | 266.45$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sigma Olomouc score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.