Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sri Lanka vs. Maldives end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x414ff3874c675028e83b11e4b4de3be6831a0c1b2b2fd4bfd586c7150f52533e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked No | 69c | 4,400$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 31c | 4,278$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 69c | 2,744$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed No | 72c | 619.49$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 30c | 449.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.58 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 332.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 27c | 157$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 137$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…6bcfbacked No | 68c | 103.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…2b82backed Yes | 19c | 83.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 23c | 72.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3433…6479backed Yes | 74c | 43.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…0c04backed No | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 15.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sri Lanka vs. Maldives end in a draw?this page
- Will Maldives win on 2025-09-09?No won
- Will Sri Lanka win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.