South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Ceará SC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4177a014cfb058834d13d6b2e8d79df3e4c5930a82754d32b9465e0a5e745c1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 4,098$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.57 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 15c | 3,369$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 55c | 1,261$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.14 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…bde6backed Yes | 54c | 1,127$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 1,127$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.39 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,008$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 30c | 999.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…f90bbacked Yes | 31c | 903.23$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 885.05$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…ca3dbacked Yes | 31c | 838.71$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 829.37$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 15c | 750$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 543$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 514.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…1f93backed No | 70c | 227.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…3babbacked No | 70c | 113.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 79c | 113.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…fdebbacked No | 70c | 75.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 71c | 75.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b729backed No | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…aacebacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…5733backed No | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…f5a8backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…005dbacked Yes | 29c | 50.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…f285backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…e9e5backed No | 71c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 70c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ceará SC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?this page
- Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-20?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.