CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Germany vs Finland - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417ccf798aaa5150ee1db881eea31a1f6c65f9e156a5ac151e3e7fde7219bca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Germanyof Germany, Finland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Germany | 78c | 3,067$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.07 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Finland | 22c | 841.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Finland | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Finland | 22c | 303.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Finland | 22c | 295$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Finland | 22c | 290.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Finland | 22c | 286$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Finland | 21c | 277$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Finland | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…e18fbacked Finland | 22c | 118.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Finland | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed Finland | 31c | 114.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Germany | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Germany | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Finland | 21c | 67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Germany vs Finland - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Germany vs Finland (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup West European Qualifier PlayoffsGermany won
- Counter-Strike: Germany vs Finland - Map 1 WinnerGermany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.