Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Incarnate Word vs. Texas A&M-CC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b2148d97a55fe5c53c3c49fd703dc8a9615b5014b1ad5149a898865089f359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M-CCof Incarnate Word, Texas A&M-CC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 345$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…06cdbacked Incarnate Word | 32c | 344$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…ec7dbacked Incarnate Word | 32c | 141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…8592backed Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…322cbacked Incarnate Word | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80c…04f9backed Incarnate Word | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Incarnate Word | 15c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…9c77backed Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…38c5backed Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…fd5fbacked Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d4…9b42backed Incarnate Word | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…c675backed Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…0d38backed Incarnate Word | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa767…f03cbacked Incarnate Word | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…c2c5backed Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…005abacked Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…d6adbacked Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Texas A&M-CC | 71c | 40.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…564dbacked Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9f…a648backed Incarnate Word | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…904cbacked Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…f133backed Texas A&M-CC | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…12afbacked Incarnate Word | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…826fbacked Incarnate Word | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…0601backed Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 53cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…9c46backed Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…f247backed Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…c4fabacked Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…3912backed Texas A&M-CC | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.