Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ebafe109db9b666e3b9c25f1c9a634cab9b6a13f612a4f7678ed9fc794e44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof Galatasaray Esports, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Galatasaray Esports | 32c | 1,330$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Galatasaray Esports | 30c | 273.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked S2G Esports | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked Galatasaray Esports | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed S2G Esports | 64c | 121.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Galatasaray Esports | 24c | 111.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked S2G Esports | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…963bbacked Galatasaray Esports | 45c | 64.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…c4ecbacked Galatasaray Esports | 40c | 44.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…4fb3backed S2G Esports | 70c | 28.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 1 WinnerGalatasaray Esports won
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.