Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41fa2d892b87d43a6398db779a49b1454460a0d6cfc97703273189aa66e04bff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof Miami Hurricanes, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers | 67c | 2,784$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Miami Hurricanes | 33c | 2,698$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.36 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…ce4cbacked Miami Hurricanes | 19c | 2,245$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Miami Hurricanes | 15c | 2,137$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.07 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clemson Tigers | 78c | 1,529$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.51 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Miami Hurricanes | 23c | 927.69$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Miami Hurricanes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 490.62$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Miami Hurricanes | 27c | 372.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Miami Hurricanes | 33c | 298.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Clemson Tigers | 67c | 260$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Clemson Tigers | 77c | 213.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clemson Tigers | 66c | 202.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Miami Hurricanes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clemson Tigers | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Hurricanes | 24c | 152.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clemson Tigers | 67c | 128$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Miami Hurricanes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Clemson Tigers | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Miami Hurricanes | 34c | 87.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 18c | 55.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Miami Hurricanes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigersthis page
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.