Lol · resolved market
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42453f4929a8371b451dca2e7bec74f1d88e6f656c4a1f353e60d144b7047f77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frites Esports Clubof Frites Esports Club, Once Upon A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3414…067abacked Once Upon A Team | 22c | 7,977$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.6 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Once Upon A Team | 17c | 2,769$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.67 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Once Upon A Team | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.06 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Once Upon A Team | 17c | 1,546$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Once Upon A Team | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Once Upon A Team | 23c | 743.79$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.51 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Once Upon A Team | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Once Upon A Team | 22c | 356$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Once Upon A Team | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Once Upon A Team | 17c | 268.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Once Upon A Team | 23c | 268$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…927abacked Once Upon A Team | 8c | 244.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Once Upon A Team | 17c | 241.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Frites Esports Club | 79c | 239$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Once Upon A Team | 23c | 229.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Once Upon A Team | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Once Upon A Team | 21c | 143.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Once Upon A Team | 19c | 136.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Frites Esports Club | 74c | 130.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…c218backed Once Upon A Team | 12c | 128.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Frites Esports Club | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Once Upon A Team | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Frites Esports Club | 78c | 110.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Frites Esports Club | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Once Upon A Team | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…047cbacked Once Upon A Team | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Once Upon A Team | 23c | 84.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Once Upon A Team | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Frites Esports Club | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Frites Esports Club | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Once Upon A Team | 21c | 56.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Once Upon A Team | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Frites Esports Club | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Once Upon A Team | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Once Upon A Team | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Once Upon A Team | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Frites Esports Club | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Frites Esports Club | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Frites Esports Club | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Frites Esports Club | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed Frites Esports Club | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 77cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Frites Esports Club | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Frites Esports Club | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.