Tennis · resolved market
Fonseca vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x425b5ca2b57c44b7b7f0b62ec73703b9b09becf804343f357749c3892300d7cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 25c | 11,481$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.31 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Under | 59c | 3,266$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.95 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2,177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Under | 74c | 1,382$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.74 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 78c | 898.15$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 53c | 891.73$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Under | 79c | 269.29$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 7c | 266$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…d7f9backed Under | 71c | 222.77$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Over | 14c | 222.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…7a7bbacked Under | 72c | 220.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Over | 15c | 106$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…681bbacked Under | 73c | 103.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 53c | 95.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Under | 74c | 93.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…be54backed Under | 58c | 67.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 52c | 48.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…53fabacked Under | 77c | 40.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 74c | 39.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…c34abacked Under | 53c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…0482backed Under | 54c | 35.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 57c | 31.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 55c | 21.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 166 | 45.2%75 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…4198backed Under | 80c | 19.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…7678backed Under | 77c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fonseca vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5this page
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel DialloJoao Fonseca won
- Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs DialloFonseca won
- Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)Fonseca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.