CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO1) - Aorus League Brazil Online Stage Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42742ce074193d4205e27e295b637d0b9b4a74487c0c4856931f82f422063475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,340 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 5,114$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Keyd | 42c | 5,000$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.05 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 1,433$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.2 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 1,181$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.62 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 1,014$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.84 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Keyd | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Keyd | 40c | 977.17$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.87 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 44c | 670$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Keyd | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 600$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Keyd | 39c | 562.36$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Keyd | 39c | 353.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Keyd | 39c | 345.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 225 | 41.8%94 W · 131 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 303$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Keyd | 40c | 277.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Keyd | 39c | 248.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 245$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…63c1backed Keyd | 45c | 244.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 195.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Keyd | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 160.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Keyd | 34c | 151$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Keyd | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 147.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Keyd | 44c | 146.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Keyd | 39c | 146.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Keyd | 42c | 102.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Keyd | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…2a5ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 39c | 99.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 82.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Keyd | 20c | 80.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab48…612dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 80c | 80.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Keyd | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…2ff1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 45.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Keyd | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Keyd | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Keyd | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 38.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…7560backed Keyd | 28c | 38.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Keyd | 34c | 34.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 31.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…001ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 29.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Keyd | 42c | 28.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Keyd | 39c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 46c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…cebcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.