CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427c2e39d103c78ab307e1c1beb8d679090a4238d8ae079379a57fde6bb59d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof HyperSpirit, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,885 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Hashiras | 31c | 707.19$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 596.53$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.19 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…dd89backed Hashiras | 25c | 549$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed HyperSpirit | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 14c | 391.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 56c | 370.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed HyperSpirit | 71c | 338.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Hashiras | 52c | 274$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed HyperSpirit | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked HyperSpirit | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Hashiras | 60c | 134.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked HyperSpirit | 39c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 101.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Hashiras | 46c | 96.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Hashiras | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HyperSpirit | 40c | 82.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Hashiras | 61c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HyperSpirit | 38c | 61.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HyperSpirit | 78c | 50.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Hashiras | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Hashiras | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked HyperSpirit | 73c | 41.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Hashiras | 58c | 34.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Hashiras | 61c | 34.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed Hashiras | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked HyperSpirit | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.