Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x428589463a47034cdeadb3df49af114e9b557d952eb411135952bada666367b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof Colorado Buffaloes, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b16…e8b8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 18c | 2,571$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Colorado Buffaloes | 8c | 1,905$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 72c | 1,606$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.23 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Colorado Buffaloes | 30c | 986.06$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 30c | 617.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 26c | 511$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 78c | 362.14$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 68c | 256.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Buffaloes | 28c | 219.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes | 16c | 212.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Colorado Buffaloes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 18c | 187.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 69c | 123.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Colorado Buffaloes | 30c | 98.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 70c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Colorado Buffaloes | 37c | 55.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 45.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. West Virginia Mountaineersthis page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-5.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.