Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ced3b1693554ccdd0fbcc14e91d840d18fac57f8a47cdbfa4daec5a26012fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTEP Minersof Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, UTEP Miners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 245.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed UTEP Miners | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTEP Miners | 54c | 231.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 44c | 154.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed UTEP Miners | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked UTEP Miners | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 44c | 66.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed UTEP Miners | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed UTEP Miners | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed UTEP Miners | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UTEP Miners | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked UTEP Miners | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked UTEP Miners | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-5.5)this page
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. UTEP MinersUTEP Miners won
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 134.5Over won
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 135.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.