Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42eb3142c1534350c9e826b3a1a7ebfc7be275ba9858fcc8beac91d5fd0e5fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Virginia Tech Hokies, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 1,877$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.12 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 53c | 1,870$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.28 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 78c | 1,277$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.94 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 53c | 1,242$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.45 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 1,105$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 958.54$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.22 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 53c | 654.62$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 46c | 584.63$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 504$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 464$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 6c | 387.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.33 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 321.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.31 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 199.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 9c | 199.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 133.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 30c | 87.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 65.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 55c | 65.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 55c | 29.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 25.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-4.5)this page
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech Hokies won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.