CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43010f6d9acf88b2813a91e76f117eba745edbb6a0bda6ed496adac6322d7828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof ex-RUBY, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,608 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81ac…ae05backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 443.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 322.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.47 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 253.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 229.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 46c | 223.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 74.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 64.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…a4a1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 46.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.