Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Patrick Kypson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43552c289427b90c8d7cfeaade7c2fe4e615711b49b5e95ea0f5bc35d10bbc37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kypsonof Sachko, Kypson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sachko | 0c | 13,002$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Sachko | 3c | 5,900$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sachko | 0c | 3,693$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Sachko | 26c | 1,750$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.46 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kypson | 70c | 900$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…bde0backed Sachko | 32c | 718$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…c613backed Sachko | 32c | 640$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sachko | 15c | 616.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…d24dbacked Sachko | 32c | 577$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sachko | 20c | 540.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…eb1dbacked Kypson | 68c | 477$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed Kypson | 68c | 448$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…8eaebacked Sachko | 32c | 411$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sachko | 12c | 321.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…0ca7backed Kypson | 68c | 314$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…4080backed Kypson | 68c | 270$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…ed50backed Kypson | 68c | 263$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…d1d0backed Kypson | 68c | 207$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…27b7backed Kypson | 68c | 204$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sachko | 30c | 200.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Sachko | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Kypson | 69c | 189.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…45d8backed Kypson | 68c | 163$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sachko | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sachko | 13c | 85.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sachko | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Kypson | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.