CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4358889abba35c98b7ad5c25dafa92302d541103a96bf151b420779942e0a29a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Endless Journeyof SHISHKA, Endless Journey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Endless Journey | 21c | 499.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.78 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Endless Journey | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked SHISHKA | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SHISHKA | 69c | 299.27$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Endless Journey | 39c | 265.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SHISHKA | 75c | 117.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Endless Journey | 31c | 64.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…1ed6backed SHISHKA | 72c | 63.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SHISHKA | 79c | 50.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SHISHKA | 77c | 48.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SHISHKA | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Endless Journey | 31c | 32.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Endless Journey | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.