TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ismaïla Sarr record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb953…9f58backed No80c223.72$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…ef9ebacked No80c222.23$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b26…10c6backed No80c216.9$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffde…2838backed No80c216.15$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.233100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d31…adbfbacked No80c216.11$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6322…85a3backed No80c212.8$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4c…69cbbacked No80c212.37$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3227…6df7backed No80c212.03$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6016…97cdbacked No80c211.91$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4a…3b8cbacked No80c210.56$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90da…3768backed No80c210.55$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc403…9198backed No80c210.04$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cde…ced3backed No80c205.13$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…6690backed No80c204.84$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccb…5b2ebacked No80c193.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked Yes14c191.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e2…5fc9backed No40c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No33c34.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.