CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x444a5de609ef3585f739bf7f5ec80f1173d79b5bc0a640f5874a73fcb437c47d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Famalicão Esportsof ZOTIX, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 55c | 3,189$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.14 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ZOTIX | 45c | 2,053$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed FC Famalicão Esports | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ZOTIX | 45c | 725.12$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ZOTIX | 45c | 580.2$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.09 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FC Famalicão Esports | 67c | 471.47$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed ZOTIX | 47c | 396.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed ZOTIX | 31c | 312.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FC Famalicão Esports | 58c | 306.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 55c | 241.8$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 54c | 228.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ZOTIX | 42c | 228.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked ZOTIX | 42c | 192.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ZOTIX | 38c | 159.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ZOTIX | 45c | 144.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked ZOTIX | 45c | 120.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ZOTIX | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ZOTIX | 42c | 81.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ZOTIX | 45c | 77.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed FC Famalicão Esports | 58c | 69.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ZOTIX | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…3986backed FC Famalicão Esports | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked ZOTIX | 47c | 50.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ZOTIX | 47c | 42.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FC Famalicão Esports | 54c | 31.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked ZOTIX | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed FC Famalicão Esports | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ZOTIX | 47c | 28.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 71c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.