Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Holy Cross vs. Colgate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x445b5775a8fb30967796655b895d3f24755bc1473bfba21ee1f950345802951d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colgateof Holy Cross, Colgate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colgate | 53c | 615$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.02 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…6898backed Holy Cross | 27c | 362$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…4727backed Colgate | 50c | 304$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…3762backed Colgate | 50c | 232$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…e08ebacked Colgate | 61c | 229$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…0bfbbacked Holy Cross | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…bfbebacked Holy Cross | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…64b7backed Holy Cross | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…eba3backed Holy Cross | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…601bbacked Holy Cross | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…4902backed Colgate | 50c | 186$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…e3a6backed Holy Cross | 50c | 184$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…8e43backed Colgate | 73c | 158$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f4…fa62backed Holy Cross | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…fc1fbacked Holy Cross | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ab…4162backed Holy Cross | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…eb1ebacked Colgate | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…7f65backed Colgate | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…3695backed Colgate | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Holy Cross | 17c | 88.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0875backed Colgate | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…35d1backed Holy Cross | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…0287backed Colgate | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…9088backed Holy Cross | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…3cbabacked Holy Cross | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…51eebacked Colgate | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…a3dabacked Holy Cross | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…be3fbacked Colgate | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…0389backed Holy Cross | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…b7f1backed Colgate | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…48f7backed Colgate | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…83c4backed Colgate | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7377…80e6backed Holy Cross | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…1a2cbacked Holy Cross | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…9cc6backed Holy Cross | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…39fabacked Holy Cross | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…93fcbacked Colgate | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c34…d77fbacked Holy Cross | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…674abacked Holy Cross | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7446…a0bbbacked Colgate | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…91e3backed Colgate | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…d4bfbacked Holy Cross | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…57f3backed Holy Cross | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…d83ebacked Holy Cross | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…df54backed Holy Cross | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…41e2backed Colgate | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…51dcbacked Colgate | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…228cbacked Holy Cross | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…eb81backed Colgate | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…9d01backed Colgate | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e8…52a9backed Colgate | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa385…6736backed Colgate | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.