Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Maya Joint
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d775cdae5ad97bc609d884a58692fb3d51d7a6a76a7d2abf67dc5474e05907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Andreeva, Joint
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Joint | 4c | 42,663$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.06 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Joint | 19c | 5,423$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.56 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joint | 13c | 3,276$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.95 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Joint | 13c | 2,763$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Joint | 11c | 1,117$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Joint | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joint | 19c | 750.11$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Joint | 3c | 436.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Joint | 8c | 314.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Joint | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Joint | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joint | 6c | 219.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Joint | 17c | 207.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Joint | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Joint | 14c | 149.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Joint | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Joint | 18c | 135.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…e3c9backed Joint | 20c | 83.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Joint | 19c | 80.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Andreeva | 80c | 79.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Joint | 17c | 70.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked Joint | 16c | 68.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Joint | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Maya Jointthis page
- Andreeva vs. Joint: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs JointAndreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.