Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x450e7725f12e3add0a6c1502a31807f39994e75ae855ca87a0e58390d2700072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc840…16d6backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 28c | 1,763$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 1,451$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.6 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 73c | 959.97$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 726.05$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 718.7$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.58 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 49c | 718.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 6c | 425.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Yes | 63c | 349.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 340.91$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 74c | 335.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 245$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 226.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 185.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 105.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 28c | 81.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked Yes | 28c | 79.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…888cbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 63.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 29c | 52.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 41c | 49.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…20fcbacked No | 73c | 48.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f19fbacked No | 73c | 31.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 71c | 25.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 23.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 72c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?this page
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-02-19?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.