Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Aryan Shah Shah vs Rodrigo Pacheco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452912265e651ca2f7d94c9b9747a9444b1a4961e27b3fe7ecea87ef55e9914d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodrigo Pachecoof Aryan Shah Shah, Rodrigo Pacheco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,760 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Aryan Shah Shah | 2c | 2,707$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Aryan Shah Shah | 1c | 1,961$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Aryan Shah Shah | 21c | 922.93$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 80c | 629.84$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Aryan Shah Shah | 20c | 565.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Aryan Shah Shah | 25c | 543.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aryan Shah Shah | 22c | 510.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 342.92$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Aryan Shah Shah | 8c | 341.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aryan Shah Shah | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 225.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 78c | 194$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 80c | 193.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Aryan Shah Shah | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Aryan Shah Shah | 17c | 134.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 101.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 80c | 76.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 48.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 40.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…779ebacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 38.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.