Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45dcd888a73b6e501ea345a8762aadef58c3898258da0e7ab8ba1edce0551728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madisonof James Madison, Coastal Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed James Madison | 32c | 372.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Coastal Carolina | 71c | 342.31$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.43 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…fabebacked Coastal Carolina | 50c | 129$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…3f8bbacked Coastal Carolina | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…d71cbacked James Madison | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…d29dbacked James Madison | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…3a64backed James Madison | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…4f73backed Coastal Carolina | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…0c48backed James Madison | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…4ed6backed James Madison | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…1a0abacked James Madison | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…bc77backed Coastal Carolina | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1a…368cbacked James Madison | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…1e7fbacked Coastal Carolina | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f6…04e3backed James Madison | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…fe2bbacked James Madison | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…d750backed Coastal Carolina | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked James Madison | 76c | 34.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…f07ebacked James Madison | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…6be8backed Coastal Carolina | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…2bd9backed James Madison | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…c800backed Coastal Carolina | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…d94ebacked Coastal Carolina | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df6…8684backed James Madison | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bb…a933backed James Madison | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.