Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
The Citadel vs. Western Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d03603e20d9ad00196075ec9d1a6cc2bf258214d862c4915d7f4df40c9745f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Carolinaof The Citadel, Western Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed The Citadel | 31c | 506.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Western Carolina | 69c | 401.45$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…1da4backed Western Carolina | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Western Carolina | 79c | 103.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Western Carolina | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…ce0bbacked The Citadel | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…bd39backed Western Carolina | 29c | 89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…cbf8backed Western Carolina | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…ff31backed The Citadel | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…10b7backed Western Carolina | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…b6e8backed Western Carolina | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…ecc5backed The Citadel | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc108…946cbacked The Citadel | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…ef57backed The Citadel | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…bbe1backed The Citadel | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…dcc5backed Western Carolina | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…0527backed Western Carolina | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f2…16c3backed The Citadel | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…06c8backed The Citadel | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9847…a488backed The Citadel | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…5ab2backed The Citadel | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…92bebacked Western Carolina | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6aa7backed The Citadel | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…a79ebacked Western Carolina | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Western Carolina | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…51a8backed The Citadel | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.