Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock vs. Eastern Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46faecdb405d789d5bb7def5ad78ccb02a5c772a5f3d9c256b14ae26c0d36a5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Illinoisof Little Rock, Eastern Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3c0…6bc8backed Eastern Illinois | 31c | 308$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…5c08backed Little Rock | 69c | 148$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Eastern Illinois | 30c | 110.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Little Rock | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e6…7f09backed Little Rock | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…8c3cbacked Little Rock | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a1…954cbacked Eastern Illinois | 31c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…794dbacked Eastern Illinois | 31c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…8eccbacked Eastern Illinois | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…1737backed Eastern Illinois | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…9380backed Eastern Illinois | 31c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…8614backed Little Rock | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…284ebacked Little Rock | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…321dbacked Little Rock | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…6cc5backed Little Rock | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…f1dfbacked Little Rock | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…4fe5backed Little Rock | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…395cbacked Little Rock | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…27fabacked Little Rock | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…63d1backed Little Rock | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…34d1backed Little Rock | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…8516backed Little Rock | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…9e6fbacked Little Rock | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…5299backed Little Rock | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.