Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine vs. New Hampshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47fdd34ad7bc62c67c85bc6b24eeb27fd8e8dbdfe9695555c35a21e5f3279d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maineof Maine, New Hampshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Hampshire | 22c | 717$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…df05backed New Hampshire | 22c | 441$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…abb4backed New Hampshire | 21c | 403$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…c457backed Maine | 78c | 255$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…05b4backed New Hampshire | 21c | 199$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…c033backed Maine | 77c | 192$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…8387backed Maine | 78c | 186$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…e7a8backed Maine | 79c | 106$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…9891backed Maine | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…8213backed Maine | 79c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…3cfbbacked Maine | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…31ddbacked Maine | 79c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…2912backed Maine | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…c05cbacked Maine | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…0dcbbacked New Hampshire | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…a46cbacked New Hampshire | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa736…716fbacked New Hampshire | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…9facbacked New Hampshire | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed Maine | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…29b0backed Maine | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…4a1bbacked New Hampshire | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…c553backed Maine | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…67afbacked New Hampshire | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…c6a1backed Maine | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9c…ac3fbacked Maine | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…27e4backed Maine | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…f744backed Maine | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…dffabacked Maine | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…5111backed Maine | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…bbb2backed Maine | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…29febacked Maine | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…8bb1backed Maine | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.