Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48cde2769105a64fdc55d86f870b0c8562b3ab6d9e36a13ab9b238d0fc6fdd45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delhi Capitalsof Delhi Capitals, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Mumbai Indians | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Mumbai Indians | 15c | 992.19$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Delhi Capitals | 53c | 413.4$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Mumbai Indians | 47c | 388.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Mumbai Indians | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Mumbai Indians | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Mumbai Indians | 48c | 173.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…efcbbacked Mumbai Indians | 52c | 122.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mumbai Indians | 47c | 88.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…5a95backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 66.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…f0ffbacked Mumbai Indians | 49c | 56.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 46.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0213…ae17backed Delhi Capitals | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 40.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…7e24backed Delhi Capitals | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…be60backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…f271backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Delhi Capitals | 52c | 25.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…f82abacked Delhi Capitals | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai IndiansDelhi Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.