Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dragons Esports vs FN Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498cb29b9f4f0f6b11c13318fd4a95e07eaa50671afc60bfd05f2ffc156c0892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragons Esportsof Dragons Esports, FN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf163…ca34backed FN Esports | 51c | 3,822$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.83 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Dragons Esports | 53c | 2,314$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.55 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Dragons Esports | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked FN Esports | 32c | 798.42$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Dragons Esports | 71c | 741.82$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked FN Esports | 73c | 545.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed FN Esports | 63c | 519.81$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dragons Esports | 39c | 328.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Dragons Esports | 33c | 298.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Dragons Esports | 36c | 283.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.33 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Dragons Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed FN Esports | 58c | 155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Dragons Esports | 43c | 148.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…02b0backed FN Esports | 9c | 141.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Dragons Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…9235backed FN Esports | 50c | 59.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…6be6backed Dragons Esports | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Dragons Esports | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…9953backed Dragons Esports | 47c | 32.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…f572backed FN Esports | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Dragons Esports | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…f336backed FN Esports | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs FN Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagethis page
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs FN Esports - Game 1 WinnerDragons Esports won
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs FN Esports - Game 2 WinnerDragons Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.