NHL · resolved market
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Loewen Frankfurt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a1f82e2cba52b2b0498ba4c49c96dbbd1a8d97e4854254dde2089a871c75c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loewen Frankfurtof Koelner Haie, Loewen Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Loewen Frankfurt | 16c | 1,796$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.07 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 15c | 599.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 18c | 499.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Loewen Frankfurt | 7c | 494.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.22 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…2e78backed Loewen Frankfurt | 18c | 475.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Koelner Haie | 41c | 244$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Loewen Frankfurt | 19c | 152.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Loewen Frankfurt | 15c | 114$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Loewen Frankfurt | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Koelner Haie | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.