Lol · resolved market
LoL: Rising Bees vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a2d6a881b82995f87c14778e31d80c46bd1873ef39bc01d4aacb7de8feea51d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ici Japon Corp. Esportof Rising Bees, Ici Japon Corp. Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Rising Bees | 9c | 6,741$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.05 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rising Bees | 5c | 4,400$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.63 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Rising Bees | 7c | 1,059$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Rising Bees | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rising Bees | 10c | 535.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rising Bees | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rising Bees | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Rising Bees | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Rising Bees | 9c | 237.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Rising Bees | 9c | 206.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rising Bees | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Rising Bees | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.