Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ada31e165e003e3accdd4e90b3145bec7e463a7698d3e61a644fca7b2160b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 42c | 13,707$5,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,817.93 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 59c | 13,397$7,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,524.96 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 26c | 5,758$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.73 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 68c | 5,397$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.19 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 67c | 4,150$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.63 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 1,691$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.45 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 56c | 1,623$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 1,463$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 56c | 1,452$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.97 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 46c | 1,095$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 60c | 1,001$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 55c | 728.12$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.94 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 621$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 563.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 45c | 399.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e80…b1e7backed Yes | 57c | 383.25$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 39c | 367.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 56c | 360.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 58c | 344.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 13c | 287.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 44c | 265.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 195.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 43c | 157.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 56c | 143.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 58c | 136.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 59c | 123.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…21f5backed Yes | 55c | 100.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 43c | 90.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 56c | 82.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…3a84backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 43c | 58.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 58c | 48.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed No | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…8d38backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3802backed Yes | 58c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.